Refiner Neste Warns of Weaker Biofuel Outlook, Shares Drop

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Company makes third cut to renewables service outlook this year

Company makes 3rd cut to renewables organization outlook this year


Reduces both margin and volume outlook


Weaker diesel market hits biofuel rates


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By Elviira Luoma and Essi Lehto


HELSINKI, Sept 11 (Reuters) - Finnish refiner Neste on Wednesday cut the margin outlook for its biofuel business for the 3rd time this year due to falling costs and likewise lowered its anticipated sales volumes, sending the company's share price down 10%.


Neste said a drop in the price of regular diesel had affected what it can charge for the biofuel it makes in Europe and Singapore, while input costs for waste and residue feedstock stayed high.


A rush by U.S. fuel makers to recalibrate their plants to produce sustainable diesel has produced a supply glut of low-emissions biofuels, hammering profit margins for refiners and threatening to hinder the nascent industry.


Neste in a declaration slashed the anticipated average comparable sales margin of its renewables system to between $360-$480 per tonne of biofuel, down from $480-$580 per tonne seen in July and well listed below the $600-$800 seen in February.


The company now likewise anticipates renewables-based sales volumes in 2024 to be about 3.9 million tonnes instead of the 4.4 million it had actually forecasted considering that the start of the year, it added.


A part of the volume cut originated from the production of sustainable aviation fuel, of which it is now expected to offer between 350,000-550,000 tonnes this year, down from in between 500,000 and 700,000 tonnes seen formerly, Neste stated.


"Renewable items' list prices have been negatively affected by a substantial decline in (the) diesel price during the third quarter," Neste said in a declaration.


"At the same time, waste and residue feedstock rates have not decreased and sustainable product market value premiums have stayed weak," the company added.


Industry executives and experts have actually said rapidly broadening Chinese biodiesel producers are seeking new outlets in Asia for their exports, while Shell and BP have actually revealed they are pausing growth plans in Europe.


While the cut in Neste's assistance on sales volumes of sustainable aviation fuel came as a surprise, the negative effect on biodiesel margins from a lower diesel price was to be anticipated, Inderes analyst Petri Gostowski said.


Neste's share rate had reversed some losses by 1037 GMT but stayed down 5.8% on the day and 48% lower year-to-date. (Reporting by Elviira Luoma, Essi Lehto and Boleslaw Lasocki; Editing by Terje Solsvik and Jan Harvey)

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